Thursday, 7 February 2008

Why Conservative's Don't Trust McCain

I was recently looking at McCain's ACU ratings while he was in the senate. The American Conservative Union rates candidates on how conservative a candidate's voting record is each year. Below are his voting averages from each McCain term in office.

YearsACU Rating
1987-199287.0
1993-199885.5
1999-200475.2
2005-200672.5

Does anyone else notice a distrubing trend in McCain's voting record? His politics have definitely shifted to the left over the years. Heck, his voting record since 2000 is a measly 74.1. Not exactly the "conservative" voting record that he likes to trump. The last time he scored above 80 was back in 2000. The last time he scored above 90 was 12 years ago. The emperical evidence is there. At one point in his career McCain was a conservative. His long time in DC has turned him into a moderate.

I think it is fair to say that McCain won't exactly carry the conservative banner for the Republican party this fall.

Posted by brians at 4:03 PM in National Politics

Romney Out - What Next?

Mitt Romney has decided enough is enough and has ended his bid for the presidency. It was obvious from his poor showing on Super Fat Tuesday, that he was never able to catch on as the conservative alternative to McCain. I think there is a simple reason for his failure.

Mitt tried to portray himself as the conservative in the race, yet had no history of actually being a conservative. He said the lines, but it never had the passion of one who is a true believer in the principles. His campaign had the feel of slick repackaging and it didn't work with the conservative base.

The interesting question is what happens going forward. Now we only have two candidates in the race, McCain and Huckabee. I wonder where the anti-McCain sentiment that gave Romney his few wins last Tuesday will go? Is there a chance it could find its way to Huckabee?

McCain has only broken 50% in states in the north east. He didn't even get 50% in his home state. If Huckabee picks up the anti-McCain votes, he could very easily start winning states. If he does, it could create an fascinating race dynamic down the stretch for Republicans. It will be interesting to watch the next couple of primaries to see what happens.

Posted by brians at 3:31 PM in National Politics

Beshear's Plight

After yesterday's devastating loss, Lt Gov Mongiardo is out trying to spin the loss as no big deal.

Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo said this morning that he doesn't think the Republican victory in an Eastern Kentucky Senate race Tuesday will be a setback to the Beshear administration’s agenda.

His explanation falls flat. Let's do a quick recap of the pesky facts in the case. Mongiardo and Beshear colluded together after the election to withhold Mongiardo's senate resignation until he was sworn in as Lt. Governor. The reason for the subterfuge was to make sure that the special election took place during the legislative session. Allowing them to maximize their ability to influence in the district through financial threats.

Next, the two hand picked the nominee. Offering what appears to be a political appointment to one of the county officials who voted for their candidate. Mongiardo has spent his entire term in office down in the district campaigning for the Democratic nominee. Even Beshear made a couple of trips to the district. They promised financial give aways if the district voted Democrat.

Remember this is a district where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 to 1. Even with party registration and the full power of the sitting governor, Beshear's hand picked candidate lost the race. I would have to think the results of such a race is a big deal. The consequences of which will probably derail his casino plans. The pressure on senators to vote against gaming has been relieved.

Now Beshear is in a real pickle. He came into office decrying the economic situation in state government to create an opening for gaming. Beshear began a plan to defund majority senate leader David William's district in an attempt to bully him into acquiescence. He was going to use the state senate race in the 30th to confirm his mandate on the casino issue and put further pressure on Williams to roll over.

The only problem is the whole plan backfired. In the process he has strengthened Sen Williams hand in Frankfort. On top of that, his hope for legalized gambling is on life support. His whining about the state budget has the tax and spend Democrats in the house looking to raise taxes. Beshear knows that raising taxes is a death sentence for his next re-election bid. Now instead of isolating Sen Williams, he will have to fight with Williams against tax increases. A position which will undoubtedly alienate the Democrats in the house. Or he can go along with tax increases and hope for the best in four years. Either way he is in trouble very early in his term.

Posted by brians at 12:38 AM in Kentucky Politics