Thursday, 3 April 2008
Quick Look At Democratic U.S. Senate Primary
Two things stick out about the race as it stands today. First, a poll came out at the beginning of the week which showed that Lunsford holds a commanding lead in the race. He has 42% with his nearest competitor David Williams at 11%. Everyone else is virtually tied near 5%.
This must be frustrating for Cassaro and Fischer. They are the only two candidates who appear to be seriously running outside of Lunsford and yet they trail behind non-candidate David Williams. Since none of the campaigns have started serious advertising these numbers must reflect generic name recognition. David Williams obviously enjoys a nice bounce from sharing the same name as the Republican Senate leader.
It is impossible to win a race unless your name recognition is at least as strong as the front runner. Both Fischer and Cassaro are going to have to start advertising soon if they hope to gain the name recognition in the next two months to be competitive with Lunsford. If they wait much longer it will be too late and they will lose.
Secondly, the liberals in this state must be going crazy today. It appears that their golden boy, Andrew Horne, has endorsed Lunsford in the Democratic primary.
How could he betray them by endorsing Lunsford? They hate Lunsford almost as much as they hate McConnell. I truly feel sorry for them today. It sucks when someone you admire sticks a knife in your back. At the same time, I have no idea why Horne would make such an endorsement? It's not like he controls hundreds of thousands of votes. Why throw away your core support for nothing? Of course after what happened to James Brandon Spencer, we might want to watch to see what type of cushy state job Horne lands.
