Wednesday, 7 May 2008
Fischer Makes Move A Little To Late
« Never Saw That Coming Part II | Main | Why Should Hillary Quit Now? »Survey USA has another poll out that shows Lunsford with a huge lead, but Fischer is closing the gap. The latest numbers show Lunsford leading Fischer 41% - 22%.
Looking at the trends we see that Lunsford has been trending down. This doesn't surprise me. Lunsford isn't exactly a candidate Democrats can get excited about and he carries a lot of baggage which Fischer has exploited. On the other hand Fischer has been trending upwards. Again this isn't surprising either. He has been advertising and has increased his name recognition. He is consolidating a good deal of the "anti-Lunsford" vote.
Unfortunately for Fischer he has made his move too late in the game. Even if the current trend continues for the next two weeks Lunsford will still win by around comfortable 10 point margin. Unless something happens to radically shake up the election, I still think Lunsford will win handily.
Fischer will have no one to blame but himself for the loss. He waited too long to engage in the primary. He had zero name recognition and needed to spend resources early to increase his name recognition. Instead he waited until it was too late and will not surprisingly find himself coming up short.
