Wednesday, 14 May 2008
Will Hillary Have The Election Stolen From Her?
Hillary entered last night trailing in the popular vote by 475,176 votes when you include Florida in the calculations. I left out Michigan because Obama wasn't on the ballot there. Last night's beat down of Obama by Hillary allowed her to pick up 147,410 votes. Cutting Obama's lead down to 327,766 votes.
Next week Kentucky votes. I believe that Hillary is going to score another massive victory here. I think she will win by 30+ points. She may even sweep every county like she did in West Virginia. The only counties that Obama has any a chance of winning are Jefferson and Fayette. If he does manage to win either it will be by a very small margin. I expect Hillary to win the rest of the state in the same fashion she won West Virginia.
If so then I don't see any reason she won't pick up well over 200,000 votes here in Kentucky. Let's say that Obama picks up 100,000 votes from Oregon, Montana, and South Dakota. That still puts Hillary 100,000 votes closer and cuts Obama's lead down to 227,766 votes. That leaves one last primary battle in Puerto Rico. They traditionally have massive turnouts for elections. I suspect they will have well over a million voters casting a ballot in the primary. If Hillary maintains her advantage among Hispanics she could easily win the primary by 25 points giving her a pickup of at least 250,000 votes. Which would propel her to a 25,000 vote lead in the popular vote.
If she wins the popular vote, but is denied the nomination can she not rightly claim that the election was stolen from her?
