Monday, 25 August 2008
Obama/Biden and Kentucky
Now that Obama has made his pick for VP, it is safe to officially say that Kentucky will go McCain in the fall. Biden, a northeastern liberal, will do nothing to gain Obama votes in Kentucky and the Democrats in this state know it.
The only chance Obama had to make Kentucky competitive was to pick a VP candidate that would appeal to the Democratic base in Kentucky. I doubt it would have been enough, but he didn't even try. At this point, I believe it is inevitable that Obama will lose Kentucky by double digits. The big question remaining is what effect will that have on the down ticket races?
How does Lunsford beat McConnell when the Democratic presidential candidate gets creamed? How does Boswell beat Guthrie without money and a candidate at the top of the ticket who will get destroyed in the 2nd district? At this point, I am not convinced Obama will even win Jefferson County. If he does, it won't be by much. How will that effect the 3rd district race?
I am interested to see what the polling shows in the coming days.
Update: Ask and you shall receive. It looks like the latest Survey USA polling data is out and it shows McCain as more trusted than Obama on the top issues of the day. He even leads on those issues in Louisville. Little wonder that McCain leads Obama by 18 points in Kentucky and is tied in Louisville.
