Wednesday, 19 November 2008
2010 Senate Race
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This year's election is just over and people are already looking at the 2010 Senate election in Kentucky. It sounds like all of the major Democrats are hopping at the chance to take on a "vulnerable" Sen Bunning. Even the national pundits are targeting this race.
Personally, I think it is funny to look 2 years into the future and make any prediction about a race, but let's do it anyway. I why the Democrats are looking at this race. 4 years ago Sen Bunning bumbled and stumbled his way through the campaign and almost lost to a no-named generic Democratic candidate. I have no idea why Bunning ran such a horrible campaign 4 years ago. Was he on some type of medication that caused him to seem lost at times? I don't know. What I do know is that he has been really strong the last couple of years. His stand against the Wall Street bail out was exceptional. If he can bring that type of focus and passion to the campaign trail, I think he can win regardless of the opponent.
Why? Because the winds of change will be different in two years. All of the economic woes will be placed at the feet of the Democratic party. They control all the branches of governmnet and will be the ones blamed for all that is wrong with America. Unless they plan on scaling back the tax cuts, environmental mandates, and socialized health care plans, I can't imagine the economy will be able to recover from its current down turn. In addtion, it has become traditional that the party out of power in the White House have a tendancy to pick up seats during mid-term elections. The question at this point is how strong will that wave be? Personally, I don't think it will take much to allow Bunning to win re-election. In fact I can see the wave growing large enough that Yarmuth! could find himself in trouble .
Of course at this point it is silly to look so far ahead, but the one thing I would count on is a coming Republican wave. The cyclical nature of politics makes the wave inevitable. It is just a matter of when. I guess the Dems thinking about running against Bunning are hoping they will be able to get out in front of that wave.
Personally, I think it is funny to look 2 years into the future and make any prediction about a race, but let's do it anyway. I why the Democrats are looking at this race. 4 years ago Sen Bunning bumbled and stumbled his way through the campaign and almost lost to a no-named generic Democratic candidate. I have no idea why Bunning ran such a horrible campaign 4 years ago. Was he on some type of medication that caused him to seem lost at times? I don't know. What I do know is that he has been really strong the last couple of years. His stand against the Wall Street bail out was exceptional. If he can bring that type of focus and passion to the campaign trail, I think he can win regardless of the opponent.
Why? Because the winds of change will be different in two years. All of the economic woes will be placed at the feet of the Democratic party. They control all the branches of governmnet and will be the ones blamed for all that is wrong with America. Unless they plan on scaling back the tax cuts, environmental mandates, and socialized health care plans, I can't imagine the economy will be able to recover from its current down turn. In addtion, it has become traditional that the party out of power in the White House have a tendancy to pick up seats during mid-term elections. The question at this point is how strong will that wave be? Personally, I don't think it will take much to allow Bunning to win re-election. In fact I can see the wave growing large enough that Yarmuth! could find himself in trouble .
Of course at this point it is silly to look so far ahead, but the one thing I would count on is a coming Republican wave. The cyclical nature of politics makes the wave inevitable. It is just a matter of when. I guess the Dems thinking about running against Bunning are hoping they will be able to get out in front of that wave.
Posted by at 4:39 PM in Kentucky Politics
