Thursday, 9 July 2009
KY Media Fails To Read The Proper Tea Leaves
Joe Arnold from WHAS11 has a blog post on how the GOP will pay a price for their actions in the 2009 regular and special session. Here is his logic.
Secondly, does anyone believe that the horse industry is going to be that effective in beating Republicans? Most of the Republican Senators come from rural districts whose residents are against gambling. I would have to think that the rural Democrats should have more to fear from voting for gambling than the few Republicans from urban areas who voted against it. The axes swings both ways on this issue.
While these issues may play a role in statewide elections, I believe Mr Arnold is missing the 10,000lb gorilla standing in the room. The fact that 2010 should be a fantastic year for Republicans. Remember, Kentucky is a state that voted solidly against Obama. Most Kentuckians are most likely not happy with porkulus, cap n trade, and socialized health care. All of which are being pushed by Democrats in DC. I suspect the backlash in Kentucky could prove severe. It wouldn't surprise me if 2010 is a replay of 1994. I know Yarmuth! won on the Democratic swing in 2006 and I am believe he very well could be taken out by the conservative wave coming next year. I have to think Chandler could be in danger if he faces a well funded opponent.
These top of the ticket races will have a much greater affect on the down ballot races than the few issues the Mr Arnold points out in his post. That is the reality of politics. I am pretty confident that the Kentucky Senate will be firmly in the hands of Republicans come 2011. I don't think they have much to fear as Joe would like us to believe.
By making enemies out of special interests with very deep pockets, Senate Republicans might find themselves on the defensive in several races that could flip control of the State Senate to Democrats. With virtually no chance that Republicans will win the state House, that would put Democrats in full control of the redistricting process.He believes that Republicans angered the bourbon industry and the horse racing industry and thus will be on the defensive in the 2010 elections. First off, I don't know why the bourbon industry would be targeting the Republicans when it was the Democratic party that made the push for higher taxes in the first place. The only worry Republicans have on this front is voting for the tax increase and not retribution from the bourbon industry.
Secondly, does anyone believe that the horse industry is going to be that effective in beating Republicans? Most of the Republican Senators come from rural districts whose residents are against gambling. I would have to think that the rural Democrats should have more to fear from voting for gambling than the few Republicans from urban areas who voted against it. The axes swings both ways on this issue.
While these issues may play a role in statewide elections, I believe Mr Arnold is missing the 10,000lb gorilla standing in the room. The fact that 2010 should be a fantastic year for Republicans. Remember, Kentucky is a state that voted solidly against Obama. Most Kentuckians are most likely not happy with porkulus, cap n trade, and socialized health care. All of which are being pushed by Democrats in DC. I suspect the backlash in Kentucky could prove severe. It wouldn't surprise me if 2010 is a replay of 1994. I know Yarmuth! won on the Democratic swing in 2006 and I am believe he very well could be taken out by the conservative wave coming next year. I have to think Chandler could be in danger if he faces a well funded opponent.
These top of the ticket races will have a much greater affect on the down ballot races than the few issues the Mr Arnold points out in his post. That is the reality of politics. I am pretty confident that the Kentucky Senate will be firmly in the hands of Republicans come 2011. I don't think they have much to fear as Joe would like us to believe.
Posted by at 3:44 PM in Kentucky Politics
