Thursday, 16 July 2009

Mongiardo Needs To Be Careful

Lt Gov Mongiardo raised $302,993 in the 2nd quarter. While that is a respectable amount, it is far less than his main rival for the Democratic nomination AG Jack Conway raised. Personally, I don't think Mongiardo has to match Conway dollar for dollar. But he must  stay in contact with him in fund raising. The next quarter will be key. Mongiardo can't afford to be out raised 4-1 again. Mongiardo can not afford to be out spent by more than 2-1. If he can keep it under that margin, then he can be competitive in this race. Especially the way he is positioning himself.

Mongiardo has become the anti-Louisville and conservative Democrat candidate in the race. Conway on the other hand is apparently going the liberal big city route. A move that will make it more difficult for him to win since most Democrats live in the rural parts of the state. Conway will need the extra money to make inroads out in the state and fight the liberal stigmatism that Mongiardo will attach to him. On the other hand, all Mongiardo needs to do is point out Conway's liberalism. A much easier task that will be much less expensive.

The best part of the Democratic nominating process is that it will undoubtedly turn very nasty next spring. A situation that will only help the Republican nominee in the fall.Don't believe me? Here is a taste of the already developing bitterness between the two camps.

Mark Riddle, a campaign strategist for Conway, said Mongiardo’s inability to bring in money shows that “he is not a viable candidate for Senate.”

“He couldn’t raise money in 2004 and lost to an inept U.S. Senator,” Riddle said....

....Kim Geveden, a Mongiardo campaign adviser, skewered Conway for going outside Kentucky to tap potential donors.

“It’s no surprise Jack Conway has significant financial support from his east-end Louisville neighbors and friends in New York and Los Angeles,” Geveden said. “Daniel doesn’t need to raise as much money as Jack because Daniel has a 20-point lead.”

It is going to be a fun campaign to watch next spring! I'll have to stock up on the popcorn over the winter to enjoy the show.

Posted by brians at 9:59 PM in Kentucky Politics

Time For Sen Bunning To Step Down

I write this with a very heavy heart. I love Sen Bunning. He has been a fantastic senator for the state of Kentucky. But it is apparent that he is not trying to retain his seat.

Over the past three months, Kentucky Sen. Jim Bunning raised $302,466.96 for his re-election campaign, about half the amount that political protégé and potential Republican challenger Trey Grayson raised in the same time period.

Of the four top contenders for Bunning’s seat, the incumbent raised the least during the second quarter of the year. Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway says he pulled in $1.32 million, compared to $602,699 for Grayson, $302,993 for Democratic Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo and $302,466 for Bunning

When you are an incumbent senator and you don't pull in anywhere near what your opponents are raising then you are not seriously running for re-election. Heck when you pull in half of someone who isn't even running for office, then you have failed. If Sen Bunning isn't going to give 100% to his re-election, then he needs to step down now and let someone who is serious and committed to running and winning to take his place. We don't need another liberal voice in the U.S. Senate.

Posted by brians at 9:54 PM in Kentucky Politics