Thursday, 16 July 2009

Mongiardo Needs To Be Careful

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Lt Gov Mongiardo raised $302,993 in the 2nd quarter. While that is a respectable amount, it is far less than his main rival for the Democratic nomination AG Jack Conway raised. Personally, I don't think Mongiardo has to match Conway dollar for dollar. But he must  stay in contact with him in fund raising. The next quarter will be key. Mongiardo can't afford to be out raised 4-1 again. Mongiardo can not afford to be out spent by more than 2-1. If he can keep it under that margin, then he can be competitive in this race. Especially the way he is positioning himself.

Mongiardo has become the anti-Louisville and conservative Democrat candidate in the race. Conway on the other hand is apparently going the liberal big city route. A move that will make it more difficult for him to win since most Democrats live in the rural parts of the state. Conway will need the extra money to make inroads out in the state and fight the liberal stigmatism that Mongiardo will attach to him. On the other hand, all Mongiardo needs to do is point out Conway's liberalism. A much easier task that will be much less expensive.

The best part of the Democratic nominating process is that it will undoubtedly turn very nasty next spring. A situation that will only help the Republican nominee in the fall.Don't believe me? Here is a taste of the already developing bitterness between the two camps.

Mark Riddle, a campaign strategist for Conway, said Mongiardo’s inability to bring in money shows that “he is not a viable candidate for Senate.”

“He couldn’t raise money in 2004 and lost to an inept U.S. Senator,” Riddle said....

....Kim Geveden, a Mongiardo campaign adviser, skewered Conway for going outside Kentucky to tap potential donors.

“It’s no surprise Jack Conway has significant financial support from his east-end Louisville neighbors and friends in New York and Los Angeles,” Geveden said. “Daniel doesn’t need to raise as much money as Jack because Daniel has a 20-point lead.”

It is going to be a fun campaign to watch next spring! I'll have to stock up on the popcorn over the winter to enjoy the show.

Posted by brians at 9:59 PM in Kentucky Politics

 

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