Monday, 25 January 2010
US Senate Elections 2010 Update
« Brown Win The Start Of A Tidal Wave | Main | Debates »Across the river in Indiana, it looks like Sen Bayh is in trouble. He currently trails Pence(R) 47-44 in the polls. He only holds a 3 point lead over Hostettler who has already announced 44-41. In all of the match ups Bayh doesn't get over 45% of the vote. Not a good starting point for a sitting incumbent.
I don't find this surprising at all. A Republican wave is building and Indiana has traditionally been a Republican state. I have noted for a while now that Bayh has been drifting to the left since he has been in the U.S. Senate. Most notably on gun issues. Just this year, Bayh voted for Obamacare. Not exactly a popular position with people in his state.
I think he is going to have a difficult time positioning himself as a "moderate" Democrat this election cycle. A few years ago this was a safe Democrat seat. Today, I think Bayh will be one of the vulnerable Democratic senators facing re-election. If it is a strong Republican year that I believe it will be, I suspect Bayh's tenure in D.C. may be coming to a close.
